The Canadian Dollar is trying to renew its advance towards the US Dollar as the highest performer this yr with worth now testing a near-term assist pivot that if damaged, may exposes additional losses for the buck. These are the up to date targets and invalidation ranges that matter on the USD/CAD charts.

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USD/CAD Day by day Worth Chart

USD/CAD Price Chart - US Dollar vs Canadian Dollar Daily

Technical Outlook: In my final USD/CAD TechnicalOutlook we famous that the worth was rebounding from every day development assist with a maintain beneath resistance at 1.32 wanted to maintain the main target decrease. An early month restoration registered a excessive at 1.3340 earlier than puling again with the decline now as soon as once more approaching the 1.32-handle. Notice that the February opening-range stays intact with Loonie trying to shut beneath the 100-day shifting common right now round ~1.3230.

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USD/CAD 120min Worth Chart

USD/CAD Price Chart - US Dollar vs Canadian Dollar 120min

Notes: A better have a look at worth motion reveals USD/CAD buying and selling inside the confines of a descending pitchfork formation extending off the month-to-month highs with the median-line additional highlighting near-term assist on the 50% retracement at 1.3204. A break beneath would exposes subsequent assist goals on the 61.8% retracement / 100% extension at 1.3166/72 backed intently by the 200-day shifting common at ~1.3142 and the month-to-month open at 1.3123 – look for a bigger response there IF reached. Preliminary resistance stands on the weekly open at 1.3250 with a near-term bearish invalidation now lowered to 1.3282.

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Backside line: Searching for a every day shut beneath the 100-day shifting common with the fast give attention to a response down on the 1.32-handle. From a buying and selling standpoint, place to cut back short-exposure and decrease protecting stops – search for failure forward of the higher parallel / 1.3282 on a rebound IF worth is certainly heading decrease. Evaluation my newest USD/CAD Weekly Technical Outlook for a longer-term have a look at the weekly worth charts.

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USD/CAD Dealer Sentiment

USD/CAD Trader Positioning

  • A abstract of IG Client Sentiment reveals merchants are net-short USD/CAD – the ratio stands at -1.05 (48.8% of merchants are lengthy) – impartialstudying
  • Traders have remained net-short since February 6th; worth has moved 0.7% increased since then
  • Lengthy positions are14.1% increased than yesterday and 49.3% increased from final week
  • Brief positions are 3.8% increased than yesterday and a pair of.7% decrease from final week
  • We sometimes take a contrarian view to crowd sentiment, and the actual fact merchants are net-short suggests USD/CAD costs could proceed to rise. But merchants are much less net-short than yesterday and in contrast with final week. Latest adjustments in sentiment warn that the present USD/CAD worth development could quickly reverse decrease regardless of the actual fact merchants stay net-short.

See how shifts in USD/CAD retail positioning are impacting trend- Learn more about sentiment!

Related USD/CAD Information Releases

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– Written by Michael Boutros, Forex Strategist with DailyFX

Comply with Michael on Twitter @MBForex

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