- Bitcoin printed an eight-month excessive of $6,964 earlier at the moment. Additional strengthening the long-term bullish bias is a bull cross of the 100- and 200-day shifting averages (MAs) – the primary since July 2015.
- A sustained transfer towards the following resistance at $7,411 (September 2018 excessive) may very well be preceded by a value pullback, because the 14-day relative power index (RSI) is presently reporting overbought situations.
- Pullbacks, if any, will seemingly be reversed by the traditionally sturdy 30-day shifting common (MA), presently at $5,450.
- The long-term bullish outlook can be invalidated solely under the 200-day MA at $4,405.
There appears to be no stopping the bitcoin (BTC) freight practice.
The main cryptocurrency by market worth jumped to $6,964 at 06:00 UTC at the moment on Bitstamp, the very best degree since Sept. 5, 2018, having discovered acceptance above the essential 200-week shifting common at $6,500 in early Asian buying and selling hours.
Costs have set a brand new multi-month excessive for the fourth straight day and have rallied in extra of over 70 % within the final 5.5-weeks.
Notably, with the sharp rally, the 100-day MA of bitcoin’s value has moved above the 200-day MA. That’s the first bullish crossover between the 2 averages since July 2015.
The event additional confirms the long-term bearish-to-bullish pattern change signaled by a number of technical indicators, together with a golden crossover, over the previous couple of weeks.
The shifting common research, nevertheless, are lagging indicators and have restricted predictive talents, as they take outdated value historical past into consideration.
Even so, traders could take coronary heart as an identical crossover in July 2015 was adopted by a 2.5-year bull run.
Every day chart
The 100-day MA has crossed the 200-day MA from under (see above left). The newest bullish crossover comes two weeks after the affirmation of a golden crossover of the 50- and 200-day MAs.
The final bull cross of the 100- and 200-day MAs (above proper), confirmed on July 26, 2015, remained legitimate for 33 months, throughout which the value rallied 8,000 % to a file excessive of $20,000.
With the following mining reward halving due in Might 2020, the doorways appear open for BTC rise additional over the long-term.
The short-term outlook can also be bullish. The 30-day MA is trending north with the value creating bullish greater highs and better lows. BTC, subsequently, seems to be set to increase the rally to the following resistance degree at $7,400.
A pullback, nevertheless, could precede the following leg greater or the positive factors above $7,000 is probably not sustainable within the short-term, because the 14-day relative power index (RSI) is reporting excessive overbought situations.
Additionally, it’s price noting that BTC suffered a short lived value pullback from $290 to $220 within the 4 weeks following the bull cross in July 2015 earlier than selecting a powerful bid.
That mentioned, with the long-term technicals biased bullish, the traditionally sturdy assist of the 30-day MA, presently at $5,463, might once more reverse deeper value pullbacks, if any.
As of writing, BTC is altering palms at $6,800, representing a 7 % acquire on a 24-hour foundation.
Disclosure: The creator holds no cryptocurrency property on the time of writing.